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| paul jeffreys market comment |
21st January 2010
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Here we are, almost a month into 2010, and what is happening with the property market? Well, in truth, because of the Christmas and New Year holiday and then the very cold couple of weeks, it has been slow to get going, that was until this last weekend, when it appeared that someone had turned on the tap. Sunday was a particularly busy day with Paul having a number of appointments. Then Monday morning it was manic. Within an hour of the office opening we had arranged seven viewings and were negotiating on three offers. The phone was constantly ringing with requests for valuations and more viewings. Late in the day we were discussing how busy it had been earlier and, looking back to January 2009, it was a similar pattern with few sales being agreed in the first half of the month. Let's hope 2010 is as good a year as last, if not better.
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Jeff Shorter, Director
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| paul jeffreys market comment |
10th December 2009
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AN ESTATE AGENT'S CHRISTMAS ODE
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Now it is that time of year,
When everyone is full of cheer,
The lights are up, the tree is dressed,
We agents wonder was this year the best?
There are still those buyers who want to view,
However, it is unlikely they will form a queue,
Exchange and completion is on the buyer's mind,
The legal profession has a mountain to climb.
The rush is on, to move before the Christmas Day,
It is our job to stop tempers fray (ing!!),
The press will ring with advert space,
To wish 'Seasons Greetings' to the Human Race.
So we approach the last weeks of the year,
Even us agents are full of cheer,
We raise a glass to one and all,
A Happy Christmas from Jeff and Paul.
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| paul jeffreys market comment |
26th November 2009
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Conversation held in our office last week; 'we don't want a for sale board because we don't want the neighbours to know'. Later, same week; 'I met my neighbour in the supermarket and she said, 'I see you're selling up, I saw the estate agent taking the photo'. So now we have a board. This scenario happens almost daily. The for sale board is one of our most powerful tools. It's there 24/7 (when it doesn't blow down or get vandalised!) Your neighbours talk to friends and colleagues, they look at websites, adverts in the paper and in our window. Your personal business becomes very public very quickly. So remember, once your home is on the market everyone will soon know about it. Even if you live in a 'quiet cul-de-sac' you still have delivery people and others who will see it, so use one of our best 'tools of the trade' and don't worry what the neighbours think.
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PS We even had a mention in 'The Times' a couple of weeks back, as our board contractors report statistics to the media just like the mortgage lenders and others.
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| Jeff Shorter, Director |
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| paul jeffreys market comment |
12th November 2009
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Valuations, market appraisals, or whatever. I dread to think how many thousands we have carried out over the years. But what is one? ..... No, really think about it! You the public ask us 'the professional' to provide you with a good, realistic asking price, firstly to base your figures on, ie how much can we afford to spend on our purchase? But also so you know, within reason, what figure you will achieve. However, this is not as straight forward as you might think. Let's give you an example (the figures have been changed to protect the guilty). We were asked to value a property and stated a figure between £200,000 - £215,000, to ask say £214,500. One of our competitors 'valued' the property at £245,000! We were instructed to market the property at this figure on the basis that if little interest was created we would reduce the price to our figure. After 3 months of little interest we reduced the price to £214,500 - needless to say we agreed a figure close to the asking price within 2 weeks! Now, we don't profess to being perfect, but we have come across many other instances of, shall we say, 'very optimistic' valuing, or should that be over-valuing!
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Paul Dettmer, Director
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| paul jeffreys market comment |
29th October 2009
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We hope you like our new style of advert, we do.
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Now we are into the short, dark days of winter we expect the majority of you are thinking that you won't consider marketing your property until the new year. Let us tell you a few facts that may make you think again. 1. Whilst we agree you may not get the quantity of viewings, those viewings you do get will be quality ones. 2. We are a 24/7 society and nowadays whatever the time, if the need arises to move, we find you just get on and do it. 3. There are still weekends when you can view in daylight. The majority of our competitors have taken the odd decision to close on Sundays. WE HAVE NOT. We find that Sundays in particular are one of the best days of the week when couples can view together. Over the years we have found that November has been a particularly strong month for both sales and new properties coming onto the market, so our advice to you now is pick up your phone, send us an email, or call in to see us and let us get you moving sooner rather than later.
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| Jeff Shorter, Director |
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| paul jeffreys market comment |
15th October 2009
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We often say to clients that they wouldn't believe some of the scenarios that happen in our estate agency life. Only last week it was an extremely quiet, wet, miserable day. In the afternoon we had two previously arranged accompanied viewings, both at the same property. Director Jeff Shorter met the first lady with her son and she expressed an interest and said she would ring him later that afternoon. The second viewer arrived and during the conversations it emerged that another property we were marketing could be of interest. Jeff took the second lady to view that property and by the time he returned to the office the first viewer had phoned and made an offer, and a sale was agreed. At 8.15 the next morning the second lady phoned and also made an acceptable offer on the second property. It just goes to prove that even on a miserable, wet day when most owners would least expect to have a viewing, things can happen. To use an analogy, "it's a funny old game."
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Jeff Shorter, Director
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| paul jeffreys market comment |
28th August 2009
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Who would have believed it! August has been the best month of the year so far and our best August ever in our seventeen years of trading. Schools may be out, but so were the buyers. Despite the holiday season there were more instructions than in any other month this year. Buyers are now understanding the HIP regulations and asking us Agents if there are any properties about to come to the market that would suit them. Frustrating as it is, when one is available there are immediately a number of applicants wanting to view. You can see from this page that there are a number of new properties entering the market, with a number of others that will shortly be available. Similarly, the rental market has been equally as strong; at the time of going to press we only had two available properties, whereas at the beginning of the summer we had nearly twenty. In recent times Autumn has always been the strongest time of the year, so we are looking forward to even busier times over the next two to three months.
Jeff Shorter, Director
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| paul jeffreys market comment |
2nd June 2009
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Proof that the market is far from 'dead' we have recently just sold a detached bungalow in Dibden Purlieu in less than a week. The bungalow came to the market and a sale was agreed very close to the asking price within the week. Although we were instructed 10 days earlier, we agents are finding the new HIP regulations frustrating, as it curtails our entrepreneurial skills. (Paul and Jeff have over 65 years joint estate agency experience.) Gone are the days when we could come back from a property having gained instructions and ring our applicants and get viewings straight away. Now there is at least a 10 day wait until the HIP is in our office or we have receieved confirmation from the HIP provider that they have enough information to enable us to go to the market. Oh for the good old days !!
Jeff Shorter, Director
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| paul jeffreys market comment |
13th February 2009
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First Day Marketing (FDM). Not much publicity was given to this when changes were announced recently that as from 6th April, before a property can be put to the market, part of the Home Information Pack must be in place; unlike today when all we must have is proof of the HIP being applied and paid for. From 6/4/09 before a property can be legally marketed the following section of the HIP must be in place:
1. Index.
2. Energy Performance Certificate or Predicted Energy Assessment.
3. Sales Satement.
4. Land Registry Title document and plan.
5. Completed (by vendor) Property Information Questionnaire.
It is anticipated that all this information will take 2/3 weeks to be collated, so if you instructed us on 6th April it could be almost May before your home actually comes to the market.
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Jeff Shorter, Director
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| paul jeffreys market comment |
6th February 2009
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Regular readers of our market comment may have read recently that we published a rather upbeat market comment, which flew in the face of the usual negative media reporting. Unfortunately for the doom and gloom mongers, Paul Jeffreys Estate Agents of Hythe can report more good news from the property world. Although January started slowly, sales were agreed on a number of properties with many vendors now realising that the way to work this market is to accept that prices have fallen and they would perhaps not achieve the figure they ideally wanted on their own property, but then this could be more than made up on the property that they purchase. Vendors who are taking this line are the ones who are now seeing sold boards appearing in their front gardens. 'Over the last few months' comments director Paul Dettmer, 'we have seen a number of property investors purchase properties as a buy-to-let as the interest on their capital has diminshed by leaving it in the bank, and with the stock market falling by 30% last year, where else do they put their money? Well the answer is simple, 'bricks and mortar'. Yes you did read that correctly, 'bricks and mortar'. The market, in our opinion, has fallen approximately 15% by way of asking prices dropping and achieved prices, and there is a further reduction to be had on these already reduced prices. Therefore, they can insulate themselves against any further falls. There are certainly signs that first time buyers are starting to return, albeit tentatively to the market by seeing properties they could not have afforded say two years ago are now within reach financially. Furthermore, people who are already home owners and are looking to possibly move to a larger property are seeing that the property they could not afford say two years ago is within their reach as, whilst their property has reduced in value, so has the one they want to buy, but on a pro rate basis the gap between the two has narrowed. 'Hopefully', quoted Paul, 'I will not be lambasted for making these outrageous statements and asked to retract them, as per a certain politician who dared to utter the words 'green shoots of recovery'!!
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| Paul Dettmer, Director |
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| paul jeffreys market comment |
23rd Janaury 2009
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The 'Credit Crunch' has seen all sorts of savings being made. Wherever possible businesses are cutting costs and making savings by utilising their existing resources. Estate Agents are no different and we are seeing offices close and other cost-cutting exercises. However, we feel you can go too far and it is noticeable that many of our competitors are now closed on Sundays. Our view; this is the one day of the week when couples or indeed families are able to get out and view as a unit and make decisions. In fact as we are now a 24/7 society we find that Sundays can sometimes be extremely productive. We have taken this decision as vendors are expected to pay the same fee, and in some cases a higher one, when some agents have reduced their service. We feel that we cannot compromise our service and affect the reputation we have built up over the last 17 years.
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Jeff Shorter, Director
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| paul jeffreys market comment |
7th January 2009
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PROPERTY PRICES RISING!!
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Bet you didn't expect to see that headline in 2009!
Fact, in November last, we exchanged on the sale of a property, the buyers decided that they were not going to live there and they asked us to re-market. In December we agreed a sale and it showed an 8.5% price increase in one month. Agreed, this is the exception rather than the rule, but there are signs that the market is turning, with investor buyers back realising that their money in the bank is not going to earn five maybe six per cent gross, as it will with a lettings income, plus the capital growth as prices rise. In the last few weeks we have sold three properties to investors and generally activity levels have increased.
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Please accept our apologies for this rather upbeat and positive market comment, as it isn't in line with the media's general negative spin on everything!
Jeff Shorter, Director
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| paul jeffreys market comment |
21st October 2008
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Amid the financial chaos of the last few weeks something occured to me, 'where would be the safest place to put your money rather than leave it in the bank or in the stock market?' Wait for it ...... shock, horror ........ property!!!
'What?' I hear you say - you must be mad (well I am but that's another story).
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Think about it, the Government are guaranteeing £50,000, if you had say £150,000 in the bank and the bank collapsed you'd lose £100,000 BANG, GONE, never to be seen again. However, buy a property for say £140,000, rent it out and get an income, but here's the rub; even if the value dropped to say £110,000 you would still own the property, still be getting an income and over the years, capital appreciation (price increase to you and me).
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So there you have it, our guide to the current crisis, simple, providing you've got £150,000!!!
Ps. Why don't we all stop reading the papers and watching the news........ ignorance is bliss!!
Paul Dettmer - Director |
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| paul jeffreys market comment |
7th October 2008
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With all the doom & gloom of the last few weeks we thought we would try and lighten the mood with a few anecdotes of life as an Estate Agent, and in particular what you say to us.
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1. "I'll offer X figure, but I will pay the asking price, but don't tell the vendor".
2. Having viewed a 3 bed semi-detached the feedback was "well I only want a detached".
3. "I thought you were the best Agents, with the best service and a competitive fee, but I have instructed another Agent ..... and I don't know why!"
4. "I'm sorry I cannot proceed with my purchase because of my bad feet"
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There are many other 'classics' that have been said to us over the years, some of which we are unable to print! It pays to have a sense of humour in our business and we can always rely on members of the public to make us smile!!
Jeff Shorter, Director
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| paul jeffreys market comment |
9th September 2008
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So the price of crude oil has come down to $107 a barrel, mortgage fixed rates are coming down, the supermarkets are having a price war and the American Government are bailing out the two biggest mortgage lenders in the States ....... all good news! But do the media make a 'big issue' of it ....... of course they don't ....... it's all 'doom & gloom' particularly where the national pastime (the property market) is concerned. 'The Market' could fall by 20,25 or 30% ..... possibly - 'it could take 10 years to get back to pre credit crunch days'. The fact is nobody knows and we have already lost 10/12% off the values since last summer.
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Peversly it's a great time to buy, if you buy at the right price by bargaining hard with the Agent/vendor - it's not uncommon to get another 5-10% off the asking price. So here is our prediction, inflation to peak at 5%, and then start to fall, interest rates to start to fall in the new year, banks will slowlystart to lend to each other in 2009 and people will still want to move .......... but what do I know and anyway, I thought the credit crunch was a cereal!!
Paul Dettmer, Director
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| paul jeffreys market comment |
27th August 2008
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It is not all doom and despondency over the current market conditions. During the Bank Holiday weekend we carried out 13 appointments on the Saturday, 6 on the Sunday and only 1 on the Monday. However the most encouraging fact was that a number of the viewers had the ability to proceed, ie: had just agreed a sale of their property, had nothing to sell or indeed were first time buyers. The results of the weekend are still unfolding but we can already say that we have had 3 offers and agreed 2 sales. Most of the viewings were on properties priced below £200,000 but with these properties starting to sell then it will hopefully have the knock on effect up through the price ranges and therefore move the market forward.
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Jeff Shorter, Director
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| paul jeffreys market comment |
11th August 2008
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Currently, there is a lot of press speculation that the Government are going to introduce a 'stamp duty holiday'. We are not convinced this is the way forward. For those who can remember back to 1996 when we had the last stamp duty holiday, we had a brisk market for the first 8 months of the year and next to nothing for the remaining 4 months. Would not intorducing a 'holiday' now have the same effect, delaying this current slowdown to the end of the holiday? Being cynical that would be closer to the next General Election and would the Government want a slow housing market at that time? Our view is to raise the stamp duty thresholds reflecting current prices rather than those from way back when house prices were considerably lower.
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Jeff Shorter, Director
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| paul jeffreys market comment |
16th June 2008
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Statistics, read into them what you like. How about this one: in May 2007 we sold a house in Holbury and then in May this year we sold a similar house in the next road. The 2008 sale shows a percentage INCREASE of 1.3%. However, in the corresponding month we sold a maisonette in Hythe and this shows a percentage DECREASE of 6.5%. What does this tell you about today's market? ........ In our view, 'not a lot!'
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One other interesting fact is that 3 of the sales that we agreed this May completed within the same month, whereas the majority of sales normally take between 8 and 12 weeks to go through. One local solicitor did remark that he felt that in the case of one transaction the availability of a HIP (Home Information Pack) was a help, but he did not want us to shout it from the rooftops as in his opinion, as with the majority of property professionals, the home buying public have taken little or no notice of them!
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| Jeff Shorter, Director |
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| paul jeffreys market comment |
3rd June 2008
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To Buy to Let or not? Now may not be the ideal time to talk about 'Buy to Let' as some of the media predict the demise of the Buy to Let market - but what do they know?!
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In fact with the 'buyer's market' we are experiencing now and rents rising, the time could be ideal! As with any investment - always take the long term view - property will always remain a good long term investment if you buy the right property, in the right area, at the right price. The days of short term capital growth are over - and perhaps that's no bad thing. We are experiencing very strong demand for all types of rental property, from studios to 4 bedroom houses. So if you thought the Buy to Let market was dead - think again! As long as you have a decent deposit and buy the right property, you won't go far wrong. Alternatively, you may be trying to sell - you could rent out your property and wait until the market improves. If we can help, please call us.
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| Paul Dettmer, Director |
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| paul jeffreys market comment |
13th May 2008
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I am writing this after having just agreed our 3rd sale of the week - so much for a 'Dead Market'!
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Having said this, the last week was relatively quiet in terms of enquiries and phone calls etc. but we still sold 3 - luck? Hard work? or an experienced Estate Agency doing what they do best, talking to people and selling the viewings to buyers who are in a position to buy? Interestingly on these 3 sales, we achieved figures of only 3% less than the asking price - proof, if proof is needed, that if you quote a good, realistic asking price, you should sell. Quote an unrealistic figure and you won't! And remember, it's a 'buyer's market' so what you may lose on your sale, you can more than make up on your purchase!
Paul Dettmer, Director
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| paul jeffreys market comment |
30th April 2008
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| Agents fees are always a topic of conversation. Back in 1968 the fee scale was 5% on the first £500, 2.5% on the next £4,500 and 1.5% on the balance of the sale price. I remember selling new maisonettes on what is now The Calmore Estate for £3,995 and 3 bed semi's for £4,795. working back that equates to 2.75% of the sale price. |
| I don't recall whether VAT had been introduced. Today we agents work much longer hours and on a percentage basis get over 1% less. I know prices have gone up but so has everything else and it is all relevant. |
I recall at my first interview I was told that currently we work a five and a half day week (Monday - Friday and Saturday 9.00 - 12.30). The interviewer said he thought that within a year or so that would change to a five day week.
How wrong he was! It is now 7 days a week as well as out of office hours appointments. My how times have changed! |
| Jeff Shorter, Director |
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| paul jeffreys market comment |
4th March 2008
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In our last Comment I talked about experience. Along the same theme, I was recently discussing the current market conditions with a fellow Agent, who made an interesting point. Today within some organisations you can become a Senior Negotiator within 6 months and a Branch Manager of an Estate Agents office within a year.
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We questioned their experience, particularly in this current climate, having worked in difficult market conditions on many occasions. In fact Paul and I started our business in 1992 when we were in the deepest recession for many years. I recall that I did not become a Branch Manager for about 15 years, whilst the Agent with whom I was having the discussion waited many years before being trusted with her own Branch office.
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Within all walks of life experience counts coupled with the fact that Paul and I still have the same enthusiasm now as we did all those years ago.
Jeff Shorter, Director
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| paul jeffreys market comment |
31st Jan 2008
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| It's amazing where time goes. I have recently realised that in July this year I will have been an estate agent for 40 years. Over the next few months I will recall some of my memories and share them with you, hopefully some will make you laugh. |
| For those who have been into our office recently you may have seen hanging on the wall above my desk a letter of confirmation of my first job at the grand salary of £5.00 per week, which after deductions I took home £4 9s 6d (£4.47)! |
| That's the nostalgia for now, back into 2008, they say 'there's nothing like experience', between Paul and I, we have over 65 years estate agency experience in Southern Hampshire and our Agency is sixteen years old this week. Experience counts! |
| Jeff Shorter, Director |
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